Last update 2121.01.18
It is hard not to see the importance of the USA in the world economy since the Second World War. But, recently, we could see China, another giant country, becoming fundamental to the international economy.
Both, China and The USA started in 2018 an international dispute over foreign commerce, and it can directly affect Forex.
The trade balance favors China over the US in more than 600 billion dollars in 2018 and 2019. After “a 14.1% jump over 2017, leaving the deficit over US President Trump’s first term much higher than the one he inherited from his predecessor” The Guardian.
It means that President Trump will probably promise to get even harder to close the gap between China in foreign trade. They recently signed the first phase of an agreement to rebalance their flux of goods.
What is the US position in the Trade War?
Since Trump’s been elected as President of The United States, he turns around the way his country faces international commerce. He tries to stimulate investments back to American soil and strongly attacks all competitors of American companies.
In his running to get a second term, he will probably go further in creating problems for those who he thinks are the “enemies” of America. This could cause the Forex linked to it to be affected by the rise in the dollar.
How China is positioned in the Trade War?
China is a huge commodity consumer and has an important role in the technological market, especially in telecommunication. For example, 5G mobile Internet technology.
They are invested efficiently in solar electrical power, improving the quality of their products, and to do researches and developments within Chinese soil.
Those are some of the reasons why they became important partners of major economies in Europe, America, and Asia.
China can be more careful in the Trading-War, because of its huge internal market, which started recently to consume more added-value products. It probably means it will grant some benefits to the US in the short term.
What are the principal implications to Forex Market?
We frequently remark the US importance over the Forex market. For example: Pointing out who are the most influential guys on Forex. So, we can see a more incisive speech coming from American authorities. It can impact Forex Pairs linked to the USD.
Chinese currency is not directly relevant to the Forex market, but China is a very important consumer of commodities and industrial products. Therefore if it has to slow down their rhythm of consuming.
It will directly affect Forex Pairs related to commodities and currencies of their principal partners.
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- The Trading-War between the US and China is very relevant to the Forex market, as they are the two major economies nowadays.
- We will probably see China becoming the biggest economy in the world in the next ten years.
- In the short-term, the Trading-War will be beneficial to The US economy.
It is difficult to fight against the inevitable, and history shows that inevitably empires always fall.
Why the USA vs China Trade War Matters for Forex? Did you like what you read? It is very interesting to read about Forex by learning a little about history, isn’t it? See more at Wiseinvest.ai/education.
Disclaimer: Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money due to leverage. Forex trading is not suitable for everyone. You should consider whether you understand how forex and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
The forex brokerages displayed shall disclaim the overall performance of traders in their platforms. Oanda warns that 76.8% of retail forex traders lose money trading CFDs. XTB warns that 80% of retail forex traders lose money trading CFDs. FXCM warns that 74.74% of retail forex traders lose money trading CFDs.
The performances aforementioned are not related to Wiseinvest AI forex trading and AI forex signals system. You can check the performance of our AI forex system on our dashboard.